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Red71
167635.3
125712.2
851327.7
Blue67
741424.8
83423.4
181123.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78742040601001201401607167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.1
31.131.2
Auto9.9
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 10.5
7414
#44
24.80.3
22.021.6
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
Second
8513
#21
27.70.1
28.328.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.6
End4.8
red by 4.2
834
#41
23.40.3
22.221.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Third
1257
#54
12.20.1
10.410.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 10.9
1811
#51
23.10.3
23.423.1
Auto10.6
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed