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Red60
314223.6
36524.7
540123.6
Blue62
434227.3
71420.9
692123.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73690501001502002506062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#32
24.70.4
24.624.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 2.6
4342
#12
27.30.5
22.522.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Second
5401
#31
23.60.4
22.121.8
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 0.7
6921
#45
23.00.5
24.524.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Third
3142
#35
23.60.4
18.818.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End1.4
red by 2.7
714
#20
20.90.5
15.414.9
Auto8.4
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed