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Red80
71420.9
711014.7
331435.0
Blue58
741424.8
436119.5
457317.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7368204060801001201408058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#11
35.01.0
35.336.3
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
red by 10.2
7414
#44
24.80.9
21.921.0
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
Second
714
#20
20.91.0
16.217.1
Auto8.4
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 1.3
4361
#52
19.50.9
19.919.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
7110
#53
14.71.0
14.115.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 2.7
4573
#57
17.40.9
20.019.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed