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Red38
10217.9
711014.7
181123.1
Blue55
108925.7
434227.3
21926.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608020401001201403855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#51
23.11.2
22.821.6
Auto10.6
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 4.3
4342
#12
27.31.0
22.621.7
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Second
102
#49
17.91.2
18.517.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 8.2
219
#19
26.21.0
24.923.9
Auto10.6
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Third
7110
#53
14.71.2
15.013.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 11.0
1089
#36
25.71.0
22.321.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed