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Red79
363728.3
22226.1
32116.9
Blue52
711014.7
127922.1
219116.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69520204060801001201407952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#18
28.30.6
21.822.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.6
End1.9
red by 6.2
22.10.1
17.617.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Second
222
#33
26.10.6
23.724.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 9.9
2191
#59
16.20.1
17.617.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Third
321
#48
16.90.6
14.815.4
Auto8.8
Teleop7.0
End1.0
red by 2.2
7110
#53
14.70.1
13.813.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed