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Red62
901518.6
543817.4
192334.7
Blue98
36524.7
167635.3
108925.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69870204060801001201406298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.2
31.030.8
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End3.4
blue by 0.5
35.30.8
33.634.4
Auto9.9
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
9015
#58
18.60.2
17.917.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 7.1
1089
#36
25.70.8
21.322.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Third
5438
#42
17.40.2
15.815.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End0.8
blue by 7.3
365
#32
24.70.8
21.322.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned