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Red55
851327.7
36524.7
692123.0
Blue80
42727.7
108925.7
48414.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8663020401001201405580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#21
27.71.4
28.927.5
Auto10.2
Teleop12.6
End4.8
blue by 0.1
427
#37
27.71.0
21.622.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End0.4
Second
365
#32
24.71.4
22.120.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 1.0
1089
#36
25.71.0
22.123.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Third
6921
#45
23.01.4
24.423.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End3.1
red by 8.8
484
#39
14.21.0
15.816.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed