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Red77
568428.2
741424.8
10217.9
Blue107
116833.7
36524.7
259034.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699140608010012077107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#38
28.20.8
24.024.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End2.1
blue by 5.9
34.11.8
28.029.8
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End4.1
Second
7414
#44
24.80.8
21.121.9
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
blue by 8.9
1168
#26
33.71.8
30.232.1
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
Third
102
#49
17.90.8
19.720.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 6.7
365
#32
24.71.8
21.323.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed