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Red59
711014.7
518128.0
704520.5
Blue92
22322.5
901518.6
140333.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677840601001205992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#15
28.00.2
27.327.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
blue by 5.0
33.00.8
27.528.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End1.6
Second
7045
#55
20.50.2
20.820.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
blue by 2.0
223
#13
22.50.8
23.624.4
Auto12.1
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
7110
#53
14.70.2
13.913.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 3.9
9015
#58
18.60.8
18.319.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed