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Red71
1123.8
272025.8
71420.9
Blue78
543817.4
21926.2
599217.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736340801001207178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2720
#28
25.80.4
23.523.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.3
End1.8
blue by 0.4
219
#19
26.21.0
25.426.4
Auto10.6
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Second
11
#46
23.80.4
23.523.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 6.1
5992
#56
17.71.0
15.816.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Third
714
#20
20.90.4
17.517.9
Auto8.4
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 3.4
5438
#42
17.41.0
16.917.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed