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Red106
428527.1
164034.4
589538.1
Blue106
140333.0
331435.0
363728.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112105050150200250300350400106106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.1
38.438.5
Auto14.6
Teleop20.2
End3.3
red by 3.1
3314
#11
35.00.2
34.835.0
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
34.40.1
34.834.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End2.3
red by 1.4
33.00.2
32.833.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End1.6
Third
4285
#40
27.10.1
27.427.5
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End0.7
blue by 1.2
3637
#18
28.30.2
28.128.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.6
End1.9