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Red91
253932.7
31636.7
116833.7
Blue123
192334.7
434227.3
139137.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171025015020091123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#5
36.70.3
37.036.7
Auto14.7
Teleop19.2
End2.8
blue by 0.4
1391
#22
37.10.6
35.436.0
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Second
1168
#26
33.70.3
34.033.7
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
blue by 1.0
34.70.6
33.133.7
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End3.4
Third
2539
#16
32.70.3
33.032.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
red by 5.4
4342
#12
27.30.6
25.626.3
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4