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Red106
260733.0
10335.8
121829.2
Blue117
192334.7
434227.3
139137.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610890100120130140106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#10
35.80.2
35.835.9
Auto11.8
Teleop21.4
End2.6
blue by 1.3
1391
#22
37.10.5
36.036.5
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Second
2607
#14
33.00.2
32.933.1
Auto12.1
Teleop17.5
End3.3
blue by 1.8
34.70.5
33.734.2
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End3.4
Third
1218
#23
29.20.2
29.229.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.5
red by 1.9
4342
#12
27.30.5
26.326.7
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4