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Red28
401310.3
97345.5
709413.2
Blue24
192712.8
97688.2
303925.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3040102050602824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7094
#19
13.20.0
10.810.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 12.5
3039
#12
25.71.4
18.717.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Second
10.30.0
10.010.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9
blue by 2.5
1927
#27
12.81.4
7.46.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
9734
#34
5.50.0
7.37.3
Auto0.8
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 2.7
9768
#23
8.21.4
8.67.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed