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Red36
97345.5
586317.0
97129.9
Blue31
5904.3
218313.9
408711.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933102040503631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5863
#13
17.00.5
10.911.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
red by 3.1
2183
#18
13.90.9
11.010.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
9712
#30
9.90.5
10.010.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 1.9
4087
#29
11.80.9
11.510.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
9734
#34
5.50.5
5.76.2
Auto0.8
Teleop4.1
End0.6
red by 1.2
590
#37
4.30.9
6.96.0
Auto3.4
Teleop0.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed