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Red49
3410.6
192712.8
162215.8
Blue14
94359.1
401310.3
95035.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930101520253540454914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#17
15.81.3
12.013.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 5.6
10.31.5
10.59.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Second
1927
#27
12.82.2
6.68.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 3.7
9435
#26
9.11.5
6.24.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Third
34
#33
10.62.2
8.911.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 5.1
9503
#36
5.51.5
8.97.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed