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Red73
586317.0
45620.2
433625.9
Blue44
709413.2
880822.8
3410.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554102060807344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
25.91.3
22.023.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 3.1
22.80.6
21.121.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Second
456
#7
20.22.2
14.416.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
red by 7.1
7094
#19
13.20.6
8.08.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
5863
#13
17.02.2
11.513.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
red by 6.4
34
#33
10.60.6
9.810.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed