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Red24
142113.6
162215.8
971810.4
Blue19
97179.2
5904.3
36413.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393102060801001202419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#17
15.81.0
12.511.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 2.4
364
#16
13.41.9
12.110.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Second
1421
#15
13.61.7
14.012.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 4.3
9717
#22
9.21.9
10.38.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
9718
#21
10.41.7
7.66.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
red by 6.1
590
#37
4.31.9
6.34.4
Auto3.4
Teleop0.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed