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Qual 452024 Magnolia Regional
Red51
162215.8
303925.7
37536.8
Blue45
408711.8
97129.9
191212.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41350102030506070805145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
25.71.5
20.6→22.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 12.8
1912
#28
12.90.3
9.5→9.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Second
1622
#17
15.81.0
11.1→12.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 4.1
4087
#29
11.80.3
13.5→13.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
3753
#31
6.81.5
4.8→6.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 3.1
9712
#30
9.90.3
9.6→9.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned