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Red74
22215.7
880822.8
299230.1
Blue32
3410.6
36413.4
401310.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643002040801007432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.9
25.626.5
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
red by 16.6
364
#16
13.40.7
12.111.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Second
22.81.4
21.122.4
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
red by 12.2
34
#33
10.60.7
12.011.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
2221
#24
5.71.4
7.08.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 4.6
10.30.7
7.56.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed