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Red35
410722.2
709413.2
915311.3
Blue55
971810.4
97179.2
586317.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50300204060803555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.7
19.719.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
red by 5.2
5863
#13
17.01.6
15.016.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Second
7094
#19
13.21.0
10.69.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 2.8
9718
#21
10.41.6
6.58.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Third
9153
#25
11.31.0
12.611.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 2.1
9717
#22
9.21.6
7.89.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed