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Red18
162215.8
346816.5
97345.5
Blue32
586317.0
401310.3
22215.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393102060801001201832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3468
#14
16.51.8
10.48.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 0.5
5863
#13
17.00.1
10.210.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Second
1622
#17
15.81.1
15.013.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 5.6
10.30.1
10.010.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Third
9734
#34
5.51.8
5.57.3
Auto0.8
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 0.1
2221
#24
5.70.1
8.68.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed