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Qual 512024 Magnolia Regional
Red30
298722.5
22215.7
408711.8
Blue51
36413.4
142113.6
146619.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51482030406070803051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#5
22.51.1
24.0→22.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
red by 2.7
1466
#10
19.80.5
19.6→20.1
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
4087
#29
11.81.5
13.7→12.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End1.3
blue by 1.8
1421
#15
13.60.7
12.5→13.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
2221
#24
5.71.5
8.4→6.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 7.8
364
#16
13.40.7
11.4→12.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed