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Red44
303925.7
22215.7
218313.9
Blue47
586317.0
742818.1
72557.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474744454648494447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
25.70.1
23.223.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 7.6
18.10.0
18.018.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End1.9
Second
2183
#18
13.90.1
13.413.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 3.1
5863
#13
17.00.1
16.416.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Third
2221
#24
5.70.1
6.16.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 1.5
7255
#32
7.10.1
8.38.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed