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Red70
192712.8
45620.2
298722.5
Blue54
142113.6
880822.8
401310.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61472030407080901007054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.4
21.922.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 0.3
22.80.2
22.122.3
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Second
456
#7
20.20.4
19.720.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
red by 6.7
1421
#15
13.60.2
12.913.1
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
1927
#27
12.80.4
12.212.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 2.5
10.30.2
9.69.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9