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Red58
281311.8
441436.5
594048.2
Blue86
167847.7
254B14.8
132357.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106143502002505886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.1
49.548.4
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End4.6
blue by 9.6
57.80.9
59.458.5
Auto20.3
Teleop30.6
End6.8
Second
36.51.1
37.736.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.8
End4.3
blue by 11.3
47.70.9
49.348.4
Auto18.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Third
2813
#38
11.81.1
13.112.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
blue by 3.0
254B
#15
14.81.1
16.715.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.2