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Red71
132357.8
84126.0
Blue101
661932.9
1678C14.0
97324.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9954020408012014016071101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.2
55.354.1
Auto20.3
Teleop30.6
End6.8
red by 24.9
32.92.8
19.422.2
Auto8.2
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Second
841
#11
26.01.2
23.522.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.6
red by 1.5
973
#8
24.52.8
14.817.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.3
End0.9
Third
4.32.0
5.63.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 9.7
14.04.7
20.124.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed