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Red44
665720.7
940012.5
281311.8
Blue54
58137.6
4414B17.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517901001504454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6657
#26
20.70.4
24.524.2
Auto11.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 16.9
581
#10
37.61.0
41.940.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.3
End5.8
Second
9400
#25
12.50.4
12.312.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End0.4
blue by 5.1
17.61.3
17.516.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End-0.3
Third
2813
#38
11.80.4
12.912.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
red by 7.7
4.13.6
4.17.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed