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Red55
325614.9
581B27.3
95847.4
Blue44
1323B30.2
876817.5
50269.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496301001502005544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581B
#20
27.30.1
21.421.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End0.8
blue by 2.9
30.21.3
27.726.4
Auto14.5
Teleop14.9
End0.8
Second
3256
#29
14.90.1
15.014.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End0.5
blue by 2.6
8768
#28
17.50.8
16.716.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Third
9584
#16
7.40.1
9.59.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 1.9
5026
#46
9.30.8
10.910.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed