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Red43
84126.0
541921.4
940012.5
Blue135
132357.8
167128.8
1323B30.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49124010015020043135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#11
26.00.8
22.321.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.6
blue by 31.8
57.82.0
54.156.0
Auto20.3
Teleop30.6
End6.8
Second
5419
#22
21.40.8
19.118.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End3.3
blue by 8.8
30.23.3
26.429.7
Auto14.5
Teleop14.9
End0.8
Third
9400
#25
12.50.8
11.610.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End0.4
blue by 16.3
1671
#17
28.82.0
23.225.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed89%Ensemble oddsMissed