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Red64
940012.5
325614.9
469833.2
Blue27
630514.5
541921.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5746020801001201406427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#14
33.20.6
25.225.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End4.7
red by 11.9
5419
#22
21.41.1
18.317.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Second
3256
#29
14.90.6
14.515.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End0.5
red by 0.5
6305
#30
14.51.1
16.515.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Third
9400
#25
12.50.6
10.811.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End0.4
red by 6.3
6.21.8
8.16.3
Auto4.9
Teleop0.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed