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Qual 352024 Madtown Throwdown
Red141
196718.4
132357.8
167847.7
Blue83
5026B6.9
25440.1
594048.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126945015020014183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#4
57.82.0
56.0→58.0
Auto20.3
Teleop30.6
End6.8
red by 9.6
5940
#2
48.20.4
42.2→41.8
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End4.6
Second
1678
#1
47.72.0
40.7→42.8
Auto18.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
red by 7.6
254
#9
40.10.4
38.7→38.3
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End2.2
Third
1967
#19
18.42.0
13.9→15.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 11.6
5026B
#43
6.90.6
7.9→7.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
88%Ensemble oddsEarned54%Ensemble oddsMissed