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Red52
97121.7
592412.0
Blue53
84126.0
281311.8
196718.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4558020801001205253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#21
21.70.1
19.719.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
blue by 4.2
841
#11
26.00.1
21.021.1
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.6
Second
5924
#34
12.00.1
11.711.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.8
End-0.2
blue by 6.5
1967
#19
18.40.1
15.916.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
7.60.2
10.810.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 4.2
2813
#38
11.80.1
14.114.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed