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Red60
213529.0
581B27.3
Blue97
441436.5
841B21.3
84126.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549801506097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.1
27.727.7
Auto10.6
Teleop16.5
End1.9
blue by 7.4
36.50.9
39.840.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Second
581B
#20
27.37.0
27.320.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End0.8
red by 1.4
841
#11
26.00.9
22.623.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.6
Third
6.91.2
6.95.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 14.4
841B
#24
21.31.2
20.922.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned