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Red79
25440.1
1323B30.2
Blue59
58137.6
11423.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857302040601001201407959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#9
40.10.3
39.439.6
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End2.2
red by 2.5
581
#10
37.60.7
39.939.2
Auto11.5
Teleop20.3
End5.8
Second
30.20.4
30.230.6
Auto14.5
Teleop14.9
End0.8
red by 6.8
114
#23
23.40.7
22.321.6
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Third
6.00.4
5.66.0
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
red by 1.7
4.31.0
5.54.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned