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Red119
4414B17.6
25440.1
1323B30.2
Blue131
661932.9
581C22.6
469833.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94978090100110120130119131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#9
40.10.7
39.440.1
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End2.2
red by 6.9
4698
#14
33.20.8
32.733.6
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End4.7
Second
30.20.9
29.330.2
Auto14.5
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 2.7
32.90.8
32.433.2
Auto8.2
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Third
17.60.7
16.817.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End-0.3
blue by 5.0
581C
#27
22.61.0
22.023.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.8