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Red60
463527.1
347826.5
47828.6
Blue78
34727.9
440323.4
742121.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7254204060801006078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.4
27.527.1
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 3.7
23.40.6
22.823.4
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
26.50.4
26.826.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 4.8
21.70.6
21.021.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
4782
#30
8.60.4
9.08.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
red by 0.7
3472
#34
7.90.6
7.37.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1