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Red60
47828.6
61065.9
463527.1
Blue13
43718.4
77254.5
90654.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4128010205060706013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.8
19.420.3
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 18.7
4371
#16
8.41.5
9.98.4
Auto1.0
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Second
4782
#30
8.60.8
9.09.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
red by 4.1
7725
#42
4.51.5
8.16.6
Auto0.8
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Third
6106
#22
5.90.8
6.97.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 1.8
9065
#31
4.21.5
8.97.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed