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Red41
64839.5
66527.5
601716.8
Blue58
742121.7
440323.4
61709.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3137102040504158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.3
11.411.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
blue by 6.6
23.41.7
10.212.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
6483
#23
9.50.3
8.88.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 12.2
21.71.7
14.516.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
6652
#28
7.50.3
8.38.1
Auto1.3
Teleop5.8
End0.4
blue by 1.9
6170
#20
9.41.7
7.89.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed