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Red40
35268.8
47828.6
710215.3
Blue54
92827.6
440323.4
90536.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36250102030405060704054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#21
15.30.4
10.410.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 8.1
23.41.1
12.013.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
3526
#26
8.80.4
11.011.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End0.7
red by 1.2
9282
#36
7.61.1
5.56.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
4782
#30
8.60.4
9.910.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
red by 2.1
9053
#11
6.51.1
6.47.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned