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Red25
77254.5
75468.0
64839.5
Blue40
352218.7
92827.6
39336.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2530102040502540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6483
#23
9.50.3
8.88.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 9.2
18.70.4
11.912.3
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
7546
#37
8.00.3
10.510.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
red by 0.4
9282
#36
7.60.4
7.47.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
7725
#42
4.50.3
4.03.8
Auto0.8
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 1.8
3933
#25
6.40.4
7.07.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed