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Red15
68324.7
458411.8
379410.4
Blue30
601716.8
90536.5
34727.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293210204050601530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4584
#24
11.81.3
9.38.0
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End2.4
blue by 5.0
16.80.1
13.613.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Second
3794
#35
10.41.3
8.87.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 2.5
3472
#34
7.90.1
7.57.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Third
6832
#38
4.71.3
8.77.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 1.8
9053
#11
6.50.1
7.87.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed