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Red20
75468.0
440020.3
92133.9
Blue29
57166.8
315817.2
47828.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4131205060702029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
20.31.7
20.218.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 3.1
17.20.1
11.811.7
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Second
7546
#37
8.01.7
10.28.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 0.7
4782
#30
8.60.1
8.78.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Third
9213
#39
3.91.7
5.23.5
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.9
blue by 2.9
5716
#18
6.80.1
9.09.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed