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Red63
463527.1
601716.8
928012.1
Blue10
87347.0
58878.4
39336.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5920040801006310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.5
24.024.5
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 18.7
5887
#14
8.41.3
8.67.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Second
16.80.5
12.813.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 9.7
8734
#41
7.01.3
7.15.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Third
9280
#13
12.10.5
11.612.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
red by 5.7
3933
#25
6.41.3
7.05.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed