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Red40
352218.7
95937.2
66527.5
Blue27
477510.6
47828.6
379410.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242901020405060704027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.8
12.414.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 8.1
4775
#29
10.60.8
10.910.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Second
6652
#28
7.51.7
4.86.5
Auto1.3
Teleop5.8
End0.4
blue by 2.9
3794
#35
10.40.8
6.55.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Third
9593
#43
7.21.8
5.27.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 1.4
4782
#30
8.60.9
8.67.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed