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Red81
347826.5
601716.8
664713.0
Blue48
92133.9
595917.3
463527.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55422060808148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.2
23.725.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 0.6
27.10.8
24.525.3
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Second
16.82.2
13.315.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
blue by 0.5
5959
#10
17.30.8
12.813.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
13.02.2
11.613.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 9.2
9213
#39
3.90.9
2.53.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed