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Red70
595917.3
379410.4
315817.2
Blue29
43718.4
64839.5
61709.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3728010205060707029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#10
17.33.3
13.616.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
red by 7.7
6483
#23
9.50.2
9.39.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Second
17.23.3
12.716.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 7.8
6170
#20
9.40.2
9.29.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Third
3794
#35
10.43.3
6.29.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 2.0
4371
#16
8.40.2
8.28.4
Auto1.0
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed