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Red48
710215.3
40106.4
928012.1
Blue42
95937.2
440323.4
47828.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324002060804842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#21
15.31.0
14.115.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 8.1
23.40.4
20.621.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
9280
#13
12.11.0
10.411.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
red by 3.5
4782
#30
8.60.5
7.88.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Third
4010
#44
6.41.0
5.16.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 0.8
9593
#43
7.20.4
6.87.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed