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Red55
75468.0
440020.3
601716.8
Blue30
664713.0
710215.3
57166.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5237102030607080905530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
20.30.2
20.520.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 5.1
7102
#21
15.30.2
15.415.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Second
16.80.2
16.917.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 3.7
13.00.1
13.213.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
7546
#37
8.00.2
8.28.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
red by 1.2
5716
#18
6.80.2
6.96.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End1.7