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Red91
742121.7
440323.4
34727.9
Blue45
315817.2
352218.7
379410.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52513040607080909145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.1
21.422.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
red by 4.7
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
21.71.2
19.620.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 4.5
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Third
3472
#34
7.91.1
5.97.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 2.5
3794
#35
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5